hurricane Irene

Discussion in 'Irrigation' started by FIMCO-MEISTER, Aug 25, 2011.

  1. Wet_Boots

    Wet_Boots LawnSite Fanatic
    Posts: 47,721

  2. nepatsfan

    nepatsfan LawnSite Gold Member
    Posts: 3,142

    Supposed to hit us late tonight early tomorrow. Hopefully it dies before it gets here.
  3. RussellB

    RussellB LawnSite Fanatic
    Posts: 6,229

    I,m in Murrells Inlet SC and we got a lot of rain and the winds are still howling. Lots of limbs down in my yard and in the streets. Don't see any structural damage and the electric stayed on. If this wind dies down I have a ton of clean up to do. We were on the fringes but I can tell you this is a strong storm. Stay safe.
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  4. If I did that I wouldn't be here either. Do not let diverse opinions scare you boots. Im watching closely the results and if the guy is wrong his credibility will take a huge hit just like those who touted the stimulus plan have lost much of their credibility.
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  5. Wet_Boots

    Wet_Boots LawnSite Fanatic
    Posts: 47,721

    Dude, your link was worthless - it did not bring up an article. A string of disconnected comments is meaningless.
  6. Disconnected comments are meaningless??? Cr@p where does that put us.....
  7. Kiril

    Kiril LawnSite Fanatic
    Posts: 18,308

    Right where you belong ..... a bunch of meaningless has beens. :laugh:
  8. Wet_Boots

    Wet_Boots LawnSite Fanatic
    Posts: 47,721

    pot meet kettle :rolleyes:
  9. For discussion sake this is what the guy said. If the storm damage is in the billion area then he may have made a good call. If not then he sux.

    "The storm cannot master its own strength."
    Dr. Simon Atkins Dr. Simon Atkins CEO, Advanced Forecasting Corporation [AFC]

    Dr. Simon Atkins Dr. Simon Atkins CEO, Advanced Forecasting Corporation [AFC]
    August 26, 2011
    The hype over Hurricane Irene is overblown, predicts the CEO of Advanced Forecasting Corporation.

    "North of Delaware, most hurricane force winds will very likely be gusts, not sustained winds."

    o The demise of Irene has already begun. There is no visible eye. The storm intensity is down to 99 mph. This would be a low-end category 2 or a strong category 1 storm, while 36 hours ago some predicted a catastrophic category 4 storm. Air Force Reserve aircraft have found that Irene's eyewall has collapsed, and the central pressure has risen -- rising pressure means a weakening storm.

    o The reduction in storm intensity likely confirms that this storm is not going to be as monstrous as it has been publicly forecast to be.

    o Yes, it will be windy. However, north of Delaware most hurricane force winds will very likely be gusts, not sustained winds.

    o At Advanced Forecasting Corporation, we are concentrating on the surging waters which typically cause over 85% of the loss of life in hurricanes. We have modeled the following predictions:

    1) There will be wind damage over eastern-most North Carolina as well as some storm surge flooding up the Pamlico Sound. Some houses in the Hamptons will be flooded and destroyed. Flooding might occur in New York's Battery Park Subway station and on the FDR Drive since the city could get up to 8 inches of rain. There may be some New England neighborhoods submerged due to rivers overflowing.

    2) With 90% confidence, we predict a total damage bill below $1 billion. Unless there is an unexpected secondary or tertiary event, this is not going to be a huge-loss storm.

    o Our internal modeling uses genetic algorithms to emphasize the weaknesses of storms. Remember that storms are energy. Just like people, they all have their own personalities. From the get-go, Irene was not a power storm. Her goal was to become wide, not internally powerful. Personified further, the storm became too big too quickly and it cannot master its own strength.
  10. Wet_Boots

    Wet_Boots LawnSite Fanatic
    Posts: 47,721

    Hurricane Agnes wasn't a wind event, and lives and billions were still lost.

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