Caught in a downpour.

Discussion in 'Lawn Mowing' started by wegomow, May 17, 2013.

  1. wegomow

    wegomow LawnSite Senior Member
    Messages: 390

    One day last week the chance of afternoon showers was 30 percent. So 70 percent chance it won't rain, right. Dark clouds had been dancing around but the weather radar on the phone showed none in my immediate vicinity. It started getting darker and my instinct said rain was coming so I check the radar again, nothing close. I made the decision to keep working and suddenly the bottom falls out. It's raining buckets and I race towards the trailer to get loaded and out of the rain. I was a few miles from the house so I headed home and pulled the trailer into the garage. I dry off and go in the house and check the radar again and there the cell was right over my area, all ugly yellow and orange on the screen. I watched the time loop and this cell just suddenly grew in a matter of 15 minutes. It materialized so quickly that before the radar updated it started raining on me.
    What I learned is always trust your instincts over technology.
  2. Caddyshack Lawn Care

    Caddyshack Lawn Care LawnSite Senior Member
    Messages: 748

    It was nice here yesterday with a chance of rain. All day, no rain...until I get out in it, then it pours. I load up, head toward home - and 1 mile from where I had been the pavement's dry and no rain at all. Sometimes I think He just doesn't love me as much as He loves others. :)
  3. Richard Martin

    Richard Martin LawnSite Fanatic
    Messages: 14,699

    A 3 in 10 chance it will rain is actually a pretty good chance. Let me change it around a little so what I said makes sense. Say you had to buy a 100 dollar ticket to enter a lottery where you had a 3 in 10 chance of winning a million dollars. Would you say you had a good chance of winning that million dollars? You'd jump all over that.

    Whether something is a good chance of happening is more than just the raw numbers. There is also risk versus benefits and that's hard to define when you're talking about rain.
    Last edited: May 17, 2013
  4. wegomow

    wegomow LawnSite Senior Member
    Messages: 390

    Richard, I have found that if we are in drought conditions the 30% chance is more like zero%, while on the other hand if we are average or above in rainfall for the year the 30% can be more like 50%. Go figure.
  5. wegomow

    wegomow LawnSite Senior Member
    Messages: 390

    :) It sometimes seems like others get more love. I think it all equals out in the end.
  6. Southern Lawn Care  LLC

    Southern Lawn Care LLC LawnSite Senior Member
    from Alabama
    Messages: 314

    I got soaking wet also today. I don't mind cutting in a light rain. I had the frog togs on and figured it would blow over in no time. WRONG it's still sprinkling now that I left and am at home. Il go and complete the yard tomorrow I reckon.
  7. herler

    herler LawnSite Fanatic
    Messages: 5,139

    Oh yeah I always trust myself before I trust the weatherbug.

    Has gotten me soaked before, too.
  8. weeze

    weeze LawnSite Fanatic
    Messages: 12,746

    i never trust the weather. it's always against you. when you want it to rain it doesn't and when you don't want rain it pours down. it's always against you.
  9. DA Quality Lawn & YS

    DA Quality Lawn & YS LawnSite Fanatic
    Messages: 9,296

    This is the absolute truth - depends on the long term pattern you are in. 30% chance during a drought, fuggetaboutit. 30% chance when you are getting deluged - it is a sure thing.
  10. Southern Lawn Care  LLC

    Southern Lawn Care LLC LawnSite Senior Member
    from Alabama
    Messages: 314

    Raining like a cow pissing on a flat rock today. Odenville is flooding heavily. I was suppose to catch up a few yards today but there's just no way I can. Myself and LarryInAlabama will be using a boat with a fixed mower deck on it soon to cut with. On the bright side of things. I can go and take a inventory of a mans equipment he is selling to include a few trucks and standard things we use day to day in this business.
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