Weather forecast accuracy

Discussion in 'General Industry Discussions' started by wegomow, Feb 28, 2013.

  1. wegomow

    wegomow LawnSite Senior Member
    Messages: 390

    Today's rant: What do you think of weather forecast accuracy? They have the audacity to "pedict" the weather 10 days out. REALLY?? I don't trust them for more than about a 36 forecast, what about you?
     
  2. weeze

    weeze LawnSite Fanatic
    Messages: 9,870

    i don't even watch the news or the weather.
     
  3. Valk

    Valk LawnSite Silver Member
    Messages: 2,711

    Heard this a 10+ years ago, so YMMV...but forecast-wise, there was 17% consensus on being accurate 3 days out. Perhaps this has improved since then.

    What I will say is that they're doing the best they can...and 'long range forecasts' are more art than science. If they could get it right...don't you think they would?

    My best friend is radar on my smartphone for the short-ranger.
     
  4. Charles

    Charles Moderator Staff Member
    Messages: 8,090

    The long term forecast seems to change daily, so I really don't see the point of making it. The weather channels 7 day outlook can change 2 or 3 times per day:dizzy:
     
  5. branchoutshrub

    branchoutshrub LawnSite Member
    Messages: 118

    We use the weather forecast as a guideline and flip a coin if we can't decide.
     
  6. agrostis

    agrostis LawnSite Silver Member
    Messages: 2,390

    A 3 day forecast is all i put any faith in. Radar has gotten better, but that's it. Long range forecast's are wishful thinking.
     
  7. Charles

    Charles Moderator Staff Member
    Messages: 8,090

    When I first started in this biz, I let the next day forecast dictate my plans. That didn't last long. I always plan on getting up early and being ready to go. If it is not raining then I load up. Ever see rain disappear from the radar just before it gets to you? I have been fooled by that a few times:laugh:
     
  8. jones68

    jones68 LawnSite Senior Member
    Messages: 453

    radar on my phone + get the temperature then make my own guess as to what its going to do but the radar on the phone is very handy
     
  9. weeze

    weeze LawnSite Fanatic
    Messages: 9,870

    yeah we had like 75% chance of rain one day and it didn't rain at all. from that point on i just go if it's not raining and if it starts i stop and go back home.
     
  10. wegomow

    wegomow LawnSite Senior Member
    Messages: 390

    Well, putting down any granular pre m herbicide and trying to decide if it's going to rain and how much from the weather forecast is a science itself.
     

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